Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.070797 0.082811 0.096200 0.112220 0.130867 0.151884 0.177372
2025-09-14 0.051951 0.067539 0.086767 0.112210 0.144984 0.185780 0.240440
2025-09-21 0.040053 0.056460 0.078332 0.109583 0.153068 0.211434 0.295768
2025-09-28 0.031928 0.048113 0.071114 0.106121 0.158019 0.232108 0.345985
2025-10-05 0.027651 0.044136 0.068888 0.108664 0.170926 0.264638 0.416496
2025-10-12 0.023982 0.040303 0.066048 0.109477 0.180836 0.293419 0.484653
2025-10-19 0.020978 0.036955 0.063316 0.109797 0.189624 0.321079 0.554128
2025-10-26 0.018780 0.034557 0.061689 0.111527 0.200677 0.353389 0.634993
2025-11-02 0.017217 0.032994 0.061198 0.115013 0.214997 0.392660 0.732467
2025-11-09 0.014876 0.029640 0.057029 0.111229 0.215641 0.407774 0.788293
2025-11-16 0.013337 0.027567 0.054905 0.110893 0.222488 0.434702 0.868989
2025-11-23 0.011941 0.025565 0.052626 0.109894 0.227815 0.459198 0.947724
2025-11-30 0.011050 0.024493 0.052088 0.112406 0.240652 0.500176 1.065202
2025-12-07 0.009920 0.022752 0.049960 0.111352 0.246049 0.526997 1.157343
2025-12-14 0.008790 0.020839 0.047205 0.108557 0.247336 0.545402 1.233923
2025-12-21 0.007756 0.018990 0.044333 0.105094 0.246652 0.559425 1.302553
2025-12-28 0.007274 0.018363 0.044109 0.107606 0.259727 0.604951 1.447278
2026-01-04 0.006727 0.017495 0.043211 0.108410 0.268910 0.642770 1.578879
2026-01-11 0.006207 0.016619 0.042174 0.108727 0.276952 0.678851 1.710773
2026-01-18 0.005817 0.016017 0.041726 0.110440 0.288619 0.724823 1.872303
2026-01-25 0.005549 0.015701 0.041952 0.113893 0.305094 0.784334 2.074820
2026-02-01 0.004961 0.014426 0.039545 0.110145 0.302508 0.796244 2.157438
2026-02-08 0.004586 0.013692 0.038466 0.109812 0.308902 0.831681 2.305860